Warsaw · residential rental market
Forecasts
Rent forecast — Warsaw (aggregate)
Weekly median (PLN/mo) + forecast with a 95% prediction band.
R² 0.1+14.4% / 8 wks
ObservedForecast95% prediction band
Fitted on
38 wks
OLS damped trend + 95% prediction band
Backtest error (MAPE)
18.2%
MAE 672 PLN/mo · 6 wks
History range
10/06 – 09/28
listing publication weeks
The forecast is a model (damped trend + prediction band), not a fact. Backtest error is computed one-week-ahead on previously unused data.