Warsaw · residential rental market
Forecasts
Rent forecast — Warsaw (aggregate)
Weekly median (PLN/mo) + forecast with a 95% prediction band.
R² 0.1+17.2% / 8 wks
ObservedForecast95% prediction band
Fitted on
28 wks
OLS damped trend + 95% prediction band
Backtest error (MAPE)
15.2%
MAE 596 PLN/mo · 6 wks
History range
09/15 – 09/07
listing publication weeks
The forecast is a model (damped trend + prediction band), not a fact. Backtest error is computed one-week-ahead on previously unused data.